Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Bolton
19.0%
Draw
18.0%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Bolton
vs
0.98
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).