Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Samsunspor
27.5%
Draw
20.9%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Samsunspor
vs
1.18
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).