Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Queens Park Rangers
27.6%
Draw
27.6%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.14
Luton
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).