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13 Dec 2025 · 14:00

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.3%
Juve Stabia
29.0%
Draw
25.7%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Juve Stabia

vs
1.03

Empoli

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).