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AHT: 01CSV

17 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Verona
26.5%
Draw
40.5%
Frosinone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Verona

vs
1.33

Frosinone

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).