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AHT: 10

20 Sept 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.3%
Charleroi
23.2%
Draw
27.5%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Charleroi

vs
1.36

Waregem

Markets

BTTS63.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.3%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).