Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Sampdoria
24.6%
Draw
13.4%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Sampdoria
vs
0.72
Lecco
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).