Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Tranmere
17.3%
Draw
66.2%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Tranmere
vs
2.42
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).