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15 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.1%
Oldham
27.4%
Draw
23.4%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Oldham

vs
0.81

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).