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12 Mar 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.2%
Wealdstone
28.0%
Draw
27.7%
Weymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Wealdstone

vs
1.12

Weymouth

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).