Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.9%
Sp Braga
6.5%
Draw
2.6%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
3.48
Sp Braga
vs
0.50
AVS
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.575.9%
Over 3.556.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.2%
4-0
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
5-0
8.0%
1-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
5-1
4.0%
1-1
3.1%
0-0
1.7%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).