Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Las Palmas
31.9%
Draw
25.1%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Las Palmas
vs
0.74
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).