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AHT: 01CSV

11 Nov 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Queens Park
31.5%
Draw
32.2%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Queens Park

vs
1.02

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).