Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Toulouse
25.3%
Draw
17.7%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Toulouse
vs
0.67
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
2-0
12.7%
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).