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AHT: 13CSV

09 Mar 2018

Monaco

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Strasbourg
24.5%
Draw
33.5%
Monaco

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Strasbourg

vs
1.31

Monaco

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).