Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Swansea
32.8%
Draw
23.4%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Swansea
vs
0.77
Charlton
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
0-0
15.6%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).