Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Espanol
24.6%
Draw
28.8%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Espanol
vs
1.19
Almeria
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).