Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.7%
Leeds
14.4%
Draw
3.9%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Leeds
vs
0.38
Wigan
Markets
BTTS29.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.0%
1-0
14.6%
3-0
14.2%
4-0
8.5%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
1-1
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
5-0
4.0%
4-1
3.2%
0-1
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).