Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Sociedad
27.1%
Draw
41.5%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Sociedad
vs
1.41
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).