⚽ FootballData
2 – 2
DHT: 10CSV

09 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Exeter

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
43.1%
Leyton Orient
25.2%
Draw
31.7%
Exeter

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Leyton Orient

vs
1.09

Exeter

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).