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22 Apr 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.8%
WSG Tirol
30.5%
Draw
26.7%
Rheindorf Altach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

WSG Tirol

vs
0.94

Rheindorf Altach

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).