Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Grimsby
26.9%
Draw
27.7%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Grimsby
vs
0.96
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).