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HHT: 20CSV

13 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.8%
Genk
15.2%
Draw
10.0%
Oostende

Expected Goals (xG)

2.78

Genk

vs
0.96

Oostende

Markets

BTTS58.4%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
5-0
3.3%
5-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).