Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Sunderland
33.9%
Draw
32.6%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Sunderland
vs
1.03
Fulham
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.4%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).