Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.2%
Luton
27.5%
Draw
55.3%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Luton
vs
1.53
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
12.1%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).