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09 Oct 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.7%
Boreham Wood
23.3%
Draw
21.0%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.98

Boreham Wood

vs
1.15

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).