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AHT: 01CSV

20 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.8%
Goztep
33.4%
Draw
12.8%
Erzurum BB

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Goztep

vs
0.58

Erzurum BB

Markets

BTTS35.9%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.8%
1-0
16.5%
1-1
14.1%
2-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
0-2
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).