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27 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Inverness C
34.0%
Draw
24.5%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Inverness C

vs
0.86

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.3%
0-0
15.0%
1-0
13.2%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).