Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Notts County
27.0%
Draw
25.2%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Notts County
vs
1.10
Barnet
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).