Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Santa Clara
29.1%
Draw
18.9%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Santa Clara
vs
0.61
Boavista
Markets
BTTS32.0%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.554.6%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.0%
0-0
15.2%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
3.7%
3-1
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).