Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Port Vale
25.4%
Draw
24.3%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Port Vale
vs
0.93
Crewe
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).