Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Yeovil
26.6%
Draw
18.0%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Yeovil
vs
0.83
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).