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AHT: 02CSV

02 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.0%
Lorient
19.0%
Draw
14.0%
Orleans

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Lorient

vs
0.74

Orleans

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
2-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).