Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Zaragoza
29.1%
Draw
30.0%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Zaragoza
vs
0.97
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).