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03 Mar 2025 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.3%
Bromsgrove Sporting
10.8%
Draw
5.0%
Estoril

Expected Goals (xG)

3.16

Bromsgrove Sporting

vs
0.71

Estoril

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.554.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
6.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-0
5.4%
1-1
5.0%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
2-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).