Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Estrela
20.7%
Draw
17.5%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Estrela
vs
0.90
AVS
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).