Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Grantham Town
18.4%
Draw
63.8%
Sherwood Colliery
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Grantham Town
vs
2.32
Sherwood Colliery
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-1
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).