Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Malaga
23.0%
Draw
35.0%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Malaga
vs
1.54
Santander
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).