Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Empoli
27.1%
Draw
23.0%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Empoli
vs
1.03
Bari
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).