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21 Apr 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.2%
Espanol
25.9%
Draw
20.0%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Espanol

vs
0.80

Andorra

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).