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AHT: 01CSV

11 Apr 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
Hannover
26.9%
Draw
37.6%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Hannover

vs
1.49

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).