Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Ponferradina
30.2%
Draw
28.5%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Ponferradina
vs
0.88
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).