Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Genoa
19.4%
Draw
15.7%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Genoa
vs
0.94
Benevento
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).