Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Avellino
29.9%
Draw
27.4%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Avellino
vs
1.03
Bari
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).