Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Ipswich
23.2%
Draw
21.1%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Ipswich
vs
1.17
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).