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15 Mar 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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89.8%
Bromsgrove Sporting
8.4%
Draw
1.8%
Tondela

Expected Goals (xG)

3.04

Bromsgrove Sporting

vs
0.33

Tondela

Markets

BTTS26.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
16.1%
2-0
15.9%
4-0
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
5-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.7%
1-1
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).