Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.9%
Dover Athletic
26.7%
Draw
54.4%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Dover Athletic
vs
1.62
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.6%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).