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DHT: 00CSV

04 Jun 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Mallorca
28.9%
Draw
35.1%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Mallorca

vs
1.09

Granada

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).