Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
Hull
21.3%
Draw
65.0%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Hull
vs
2.10
Leeds
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
1-1
10.1%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).