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HHT: 10CSV

30 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.6%
Charlton
26.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Charlton

vs
0.80

Bradford

Markets

BTTS39.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.7%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).